CHIEF FEATURES (Based on 1430 hours IST observations)

·     Yesterday’s upper air cyclonic circulation over East Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood persists and now extending upto 2.1 K.M. above sea level. Under its influence, scattered rainfall activity is likely over Uttar Pradesh & north Bihar during next 24 hours and decrease thereafter. Scattered to fairly wide spread rainfall activity is also likely over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura during next 3-4 days.

·    Current Meteorological Analysis and Numerical Weather Prediction models suggest subdued rainfall activity/mainly dry weather conditions over northwest, west, central and peninsular India during next 48 hours.

·    Further withdrawal of southwest monsoon is likely from some more parts of northwest and central India during next 2-3 days.

Monsoon Activity/ Rainfall / Satellite Cloud Imagery

Ü        Monsoon activity and rainfall distribution map is enclosed. Significant amounts of rainfall (1 cm or more) during past 24 hrs. ending at 0830 hrs. IST are enclosed.

Ü         The satellite KALPANA I cloud imagery at 1430 hrs IST shows convective clouds over parts of Andaman Sea and  eastcentral and adjoining northeast Bay of Bengal (Imagery enclosed).

Forecast valid upto 1430 hours IST of 04^th October, 2008

NORTHWEST INDIA

[J & K, H. P., UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA , DELHI, WEST UP]

·   Rain/thundershowers are likely at a few places over West Uttar Pradesh during next 24 hours and isolated thereafter.

·   Isolated rain/thundershowers are likely over Uttarakhand.

·   Mainly dry weather is likely over the rest region.

EAST INDIA

[EAST UP, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, ORISSA,, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM]

·   Rain/thundershowers are likely at few places over East Uttar Pradesh and north Bihar during next 24 hours and decrease thereafter.

·   Isolated rain/thundershowers are likely over the rest region.

NORTHEAST INDIA

[Arunachal Pradesh, NMM& T,  Assam, Meghalaya,]

·   Rain/thundershowers are likely at a few places over the region during next 24 hours and increase thereafter.

SOUTH INDIA

[TN, AP, KERALA,, KARNATAKA, LAKSHADWEEP, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS]

·   Rain/thundershowers are likely at a few places over Andaman & Nicobar Islands, north Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu.

·   Isolated rain/thundershowers are likely over Coastal & South Interior Karnataka and Kerala.

·   Mainly dry weather is likely over the rest region.

WEST INDIA

[GOA, MAHARASHTRA (OTHER THAN VIDARBHA), GUJARAT, RAJASTHAN]

·   Isolated rain/thundershowers are likely over Konkan & Goa.

·   Mainly dry weather is likely over the rest region. 

 CENTRAL INDIA

[M.P., CHHATTISGARH, VIDARBHA]

·   Isolated rain/thundershowers are likely over East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh.

·   Mainly dry weather is likely over the rest region.

Warning:

Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura from tomorrow onwards for the next 48 hours.

Weather Outlook  from  1430  IST of  4^th  October  to  1430  IST of  6^th  October, 2008 (Based on numerical weather products):

Scattered rainfall activity is likely over northeastern states.

This is the last report for the southwest monsoon-2008

                  End of season report will follow